GDP, Atlanta Fed

Atlanta Fed model forecasts nearly -3% GDP growth in first quarter of this year
The Atlanta Fed's GDPNow model had, up until the Feb. 28 update, been forecasting growth between 2-4% in line with most other models. A graph on the GDPNow page lists the "Blue Chip Consensus" average of the top 10 and bottom 10 forecasts at a slight tick more than 2% U.S. GDP growth for Q1 2025.
Atlanta Fed's GDPNow Estimate Falls Again
The Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta’s running forecast for first-quarter gross domestic product slid again on Monday. The Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow estimate now calls for a first-quarter GDP decline of 2.8%,
Closely watched Atlanta Fed GDP tracker sees U.S. economy contracting in first quarter
The Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow model on Friday lowered its forecast for the U.S. economy to a contraction at a 1.5% annual rate. This would be the first quarterly contraction in the economy since the first quarter of 2022. The weaker growth comes as talk of a possible recession in the U.S. economy has picked up.
Atlanta Fed GDPNow Sees Economy Shrinking After Friday Data
The US economy is setting up to take a major step back in the first quarter after a pair of reports showed weaker consumer spending and a dramatic widening of the trade deficit at the start of the year,
Atlanta Fed’s GDP Predictor Is Tanking. It’s All About Trade Wars.
The Atlanta Federal Reserve keeps a running tally of how it expects gross domestic product to perform in the current quarter. It just swung from solid growth to contraction. The reason could be down to some statistical noise,
Atlanta Fed predicts negative 1.5 percent GDP growth in first quarter
The Atlanta Federal Reserve is projecting a contraction of the nation’s gross domestic product (GDP) of 1.5 percent in the first quarter, flashing a warning sign for the U.S. economy. The projection is a significant shift for the Atlanta Fed over the last few weeks that comes a little more than a month after
The first quarter is on track for negative GDP growth, Atlanta Fed indicator says
The central bank's GDPNow tracker of incoming metrics is indicating that gross domestic product is on pace to shrink by 1.5%.
Atlanta Fed model forecasts GDP contraction in 2025 Q1
On February 28, the #GDPNow model nowcast of real GDP growth in Q1 2025 is -1.5%: https://t.co/T7FoDdgYos. #ATLFedResearch Download our EconomyNow app or go to our website for the latest GDPNow nowcast: https://t.co/NOSwMl7Jms. pic.twitter.com/HhndH6BirX
Atlanta Fed's forecast for Q1 economic growth just fell off a cliff
The latest reading from the Atlanta Fed's widely followed GDPNow indicator has just been published, and it appeared to confirm investors' fears that the [pace of U.S. economic growth might be slowing
US economy on track for negative GDP in Trump’s first quarter back
The US economy is already slipping in 2025, and the numbers don’t look good for President Donald Trump, who took the Oval back on January 20. According to the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, GDP is on track to contract by 1.
Trump’s tariff chaos threatens an economy already flashing yellow lights
Those tariffs — if they get imposed — could increase costs for Americans at a time when inflation remains stubbornly high. That, in turn, could prevent the Federal Reserve from lowering borrowing ...
There's 'near universal agreement' the Fed will cut 3x in 2025
Consumer spending declined by 0.2% in January, suggesting potential weaknesses in the economy. Investment Company Institute ...
The US economy has suddenly been thrown into reverse as key GDP indicator flashes stunning negative forecast
The Atlanta Fed's GDP tracker now indicates the economy is headed for a 1.5% contraction in the first quarter, after showing ...
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Tariffs will raise prices, it’s just a matter of how much, Atlanta Fed says
The proposed tariffs on China, Mexico, Canada and other U.S. trading partners could raise prices for consumers on everyday items by up to 2.6%, according to a new study.
US economy on path to 2% inflation, but policy should stay where it is, Atlanta Fed's Bostic says
"Today, my outlook is that inflation is on the path to get back down to 2%," Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic said on ...